Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.5% | 76.5% | +6.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +15 (121-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 33 | 9-16 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 18 | - | |
| Justin Holiday * | 32 | 7-16 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 9 | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 30 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 18 | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 30 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 14 | - | |
| Caris LeVert * | 29 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 19 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - | |
| Edmond Sumner | 13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | - | |
| Cassius Stanley | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Brian Bowen II | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Kelan Martin | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barton * | 38 | 6-16 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 18 | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 36 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 34 | 11-25 | 2-4 | 8-10 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 32 | 31 | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 30 | 9-15 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 24 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 21 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 17 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Markus Howard | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | |
| Greg Whittington | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Bol Bol | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter