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2021-03-16

Model Predictions

Model LA Clippers Dallas Mavericks Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 45.5% 54.5% - ✗
Margin 44.2% 55.8% +1.3 ✗ (11.3 off)
Pythagorean 50.1% 49.9% - ✓
Efficiency 59.1% 40.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 55.9% 44.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 55.9% 44.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 50.6% 49.4% - ✓

Actual: Dallas Mavericks -10 (99-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kawhi Leonard * 40 9-20 1-5 3-3 8 7 4 0 22 - -
Paul George * 37 5-18 2-6 3-4 7 4 0 0 15 - -
Ivica Zubac * 34 7-8 0-0 1-2 11 1 1 0 15 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 30 6-11 2-6 0-0 6 4 1 0 14 - -
Reggie Jackson * 25 5-11 2-4 0-0 3 3 1 0 12 - -
Nicolas Batum 25 4-6 4-6 0-0 7 1 0 0 12 - -
Lou Williams 24 5-10 2-4 2-2 1 2 2 0 14 - -
Terance Mann 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 - -
Patrick Patterson 6 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Amir Coffey 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luka Doncic * 38 9-23 4-11 3-4 10 16 2 0 25 - -
Maxi Kleber * 35 1-4 1-4 0-0 5 0 1 1 3 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 31 9-14 3-7 1-1 7 0 0 1 22 - -
Josh Richardson * 30 3-8 0-3 0-0 3 2 2 1 6 - -
Dorian Finney-Smith * 26 3-8 2-5 0-0 3 2 1 0 8 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. 30 8-12 5-9 0-0 1 1 1 0 21 - -
Jalen Brunson 23 3-4 2-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 8 - -
Willie Cauley-Stein 16 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 6 - -
Trey Burke 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter