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2021-03-15

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 42.1% 57.9% -
Bradley-Terry 49.8% 50.2% -
Margin 46.7% 53.3% +0.7 (5.3 off)
Pythagorean 45.1% 54.9% -
Efficiency 41.2% 58.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.2% 54.8% -
Log Adjusted 45.2% 54.8% -
Points Off/Def 41.4% 58.6% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets +6 (122-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Richaun Holmes * 40 8-13 0-0 1-2 15 6 2 4 17 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 37 11-22 1-5 6-9 4 8 0 0 29 - -
Harrison Barnes * 36 5-9 1-5 2-2 5 3 1 0 13 - -
Buddy Hield * 36 8-14 5-11 2-2 6 3 2 0 23 - -
Marvin Bagley III * 15 6-9 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 12 - -
Tyrese Haliburton 28 2-6 0-3 0-0 4 3 1 1 4 - -
Cory Joseph 21 3-3 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 6 - -
Nemanja Bjelica 16 4-8 1-4 0-2 4 1 0 0 9 - -
Justin James 3 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Jabari Parker 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gordon Hayward * 36 9-16 2-3 5-5 8 4 4 0 25 - -
Terry Rozier * 33 7-18 4-11 8-8 4 3 0 0 26 - -
P.J. Washington * 25 4-6 2-3 0-0 2 5 0 0 10 - -
LaMelo Ball * 25 7-15 0-3 2-3 4 4 1 0 16 - -
Cody Zeller * 18 1-7 0-0 1-2 9 6 0 0 3 - -
Miles Bridges 27 4-5 0-0 2-3 3 0 0 1 10 - -
Devonte' Graham 21 4-10 4-8 0-0 1 4 0 0 12 - -
Bismack Biyombo 20 3-5 0-0 0-2 10 0 0 2 6 - -
Cody Martin 15 4-4 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 9 - -
Malik Monk 14 2-8 0-2 1-1 3 4 2 0 5 - -

* = starter