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2021-03-15

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 44.2% 55.8% -
Bradley-Terry 40.9% 59.1% -
Margin 43.9% 56.1% +1.3 (21.7 off)
Pythagorean 47.3% 52.7% -
Efficiency 46.2% 53.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.2% 50.8% -
Log Adjusted 49.2% 50.8% -
Points Off/Def 44.6% 55.4% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +23 (118-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Norman Powell * 37 13-22 3-11 3-5 4 5 1 1 32 - -
Kyle Lowry * 36 6-17 2-8 6-6 5 8 1 0 20 - -
Terence Davis * 22 2-9 2-6 0-0 3 1 0 1 6 - -
Aron Baynes * 17 2-7 2-3 0-0 5 1 0 2 6 - -
Stanley Johnson * 14 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 - -
Paul Watson 27 1-4 0-3 1-2 2 2 1 0 3 - -
Chris Boucher 26 7-12 1-5 2-4 4 0 1 1 17 - -
Henry Ellenson 20 1-5 1-4 3-4 3 2 0 1 6 - -
DeAndre' Bembry 15 0-5 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 - -
Matt Thomas 9 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Yuta Watanabe 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 1 0 - -
Jalen Harris 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 33 4-10 1-5 6-8 6 3 0 1 15 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 32 4-12 2-9 3-3 7 1 1 1 13 - -
Patrick Williams * 26 9-14 1-4 4-5 6 4 1 1 23 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 25 4-8 2-4 0-0 6 7 1 2 10 - -
Thaddeus Young * 22 5-10 0-0 0-0 7 7 0 0 10 - -
Coby White 27 5-12 2-8 1-2 4 5 0 1 13 - -
Otto Porter Jr. 21 5-13 1-6 0-0 7 3 1 0 11 - -
Denzel Valentine 19 4-7 3-6 0-0 5 2 1 0 11 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. 18 4-9 0-0 4-5 11 1 1 1 12 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -
Luke Kornet 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter