🐻⬇️🏀

@
2021-03-15

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 39.2% 60.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 35.2% 64.8% - ✓
Margin 22.9% 77.1% +6.7 ✓ (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 55.9% 44.1% - ✗
Efficiency 68.0% 32.0% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 66.6% 33.4% - ✗
Log Adjusted 66.6% 33.4% - ✗
Points Off/Def 57.8% 42.2% - ✗

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +2 (114-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Robert Covington * 38 7-13 4-7 1-1 7 5 1 1 19 - -
Damian Lillard * 37 12-21 6-13 8-9 7 4 0 1 38 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 33 6-14 4-8 5-7 4 2 2 0 21 - -
Enes Kanter * 26 2-8 0-0 0-0 11 1 1 0 4 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. * 19 0-4 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 - -
Carmelo Anthony 29 6-15 2-8 2-2 4 5 0 1 16 - -
Rodney Hood 24 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 5 - -
Nassir Little 19 2-5 0-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 4 - -
Anfernee Simons 11 2-4 0-1 1-2 0 3 1 0 5 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Karl-Anthony Towns * 40 5-9 1-4 2-6 8 8 1 1 13 - -
Anthony Edwards * 36 12-24 6-14 4-4 4 2 1 0 34 - -
Ricky Rubio * 29 3-10 1-5 8-8 5 7 0 0 15 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt * 22 5-5 0-0 2-3 9 0 2 3 12 - -
Jake Layman * 20 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 5 - -
Jaylen Nowell 24 4-9 4-8 2-2 4 2 1 0 14 - -
Josh Okogie 24 0-2 0-1 10-11 5 3 1 0 10 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 22 2-6 0-4 1-1 4 1 0 0 5 - -
Naz Reid 18 3-4 0-0 0-4 4 0 0 0 6 - -

* = starter