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2021-03-15

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 60.0% 40.0% -
Bradley-Terry 63.7% 36.3% -
Margin 74.4% 25.6% -5.9 (21.1 off)
Pythagorean 57.7% 42.3% -
Efficiency 72.2% 27.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 69.5% 30.5% -
Log Adjusted 69.6% 30.4% -
Points Off/Def 59.7% 40.3% -

Actual: Houston Rockets -27 (107-134). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 28 9-17 3-5 2-2 6 6 1 0 23 - -
Jaylen Brown * 26 9-14 2-3 4-6 2 0 1 0 24 - -
Kemba Walker * 26 4-11 3-7 5-5 6 5 1 0 16 - -
Tristan Thompson * 18 4-8 0-0 0-0 13 1 1 0 8 - -
Daniel Theis * 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Semi Ojeleye 22 3-6 3-6 0-0 2 1 0 0 9 - -
Robert Williams III 19 7-7 0-0 2-3 13 1 1 3 16 - -
Marcus Smart 18 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 5 - -
Jeff Teague 14 1-4 1-3 0-0 4 2 1 0 3 - -
Payton Pritchard 13 3-6 3-5 0-0 0 3 0 0 9 - -
Carsen Edwards 12 3-6 0-2 0-0 4 3 1 0 6 - -
Aaron Nesmith 9 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 - -
Tacko Fall 9 3-4 0-0 0-3 3 1 0 0 6 - -
Grant Williams 8 2-3 1-2 1-2 0 1 0 0 6 - -
Javonte Green 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Victor Oladipo * 31 9-23 3-10 5-8 6 4 0 0 26 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. * 30 3-12 2-7 3-4 2 7 0 0 11 - -
Sterling Brown * 28 2-7 1-6 2-2 1 1 1 0 7 - -
Jae'Sean Tate * 25 3-5 0-1 3-4 6 0 4 1 9 - -
Justin Patton * 23 3-10 1-5 0-0 6 2 0 3 7 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. 30 6-10 2-3 7-8 4 3 2 1 21 - -
Anthony Lamb 19 0-5 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 - -
Ben McLemore 19 3-10 3-10 0-0 0 1 1 0 9 - -
David Nwaba 18 1-2 0-0 1-2 7 2 0 0 3 - -
Mason Jones 12 5-7 4-5 0-3 1 3 0 0 14 - -

* = starter