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2021-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 45.0% 55.0% -
Margin 48.9% 51.1% +0.2 (17.8 off)
Pythagorean 32.0% 68.0% -
Efficiency 14.5% 85.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.3% 83.7% -
Log Adjusted 16.2% 83.8% -
Points Off/Def 23.2% 76.8% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +18 (100-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Garland * 29 4-9 2-6 1-2 1 7 0 0 11 - -
Jarrett Allen * 28 2-4 0-1 5-12 11 0 0 1 9 - -
Collin Sexton * 28 5-17 1-5 4-6 2 1 0 0 15 - -
Isaac Okoro * 24 3-8 0-4 0-0 5 1 0 0 6 - -
Kevin Love * 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Cedi Osman 26 4-11 2-4 0-1 4 2 1 1 10 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 25 2-7 0-3 0-0 4 1 1 0 4 - -
Quinn Cook 18 2-8 1-3 0-0 2 3 1 0 5 - -
Dylan Windler 16 2-4 2-2 0-0 3 2 0 1 6 - -
Dean Wade 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 - -
JaVale McGee 14 5-8 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 1 10 - -
Lamar Stevens 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Brodric Thomas 5 2-3 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 6 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Collins * 31 8-17 2-4 4-5 12 1 0 1 22 - -
Danilo Gallinari * 28 5-12 3-7 7-7 5 0 1 1 20 - -
Trae Young * 27 4-9 2-6 4-4 2 6 0 0 14 - -
Kevin Huerter * 26 5-8 2-3 0-0 6 1 0 2 12 - -
Tony Snell * 20 0-3 0-2 0-0 4 3 0 0 0 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 25 5-9 2-4 0-0 4 2 0 0 12 - -
Solomon Hill 24 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 - -
Nathan Knight 22 3-4 1-1 9-10 9 2 1 2 16 - -
Rajon Rondo 16 1-4 0-1 0-0 0 4 2 0 2 - -
Bruno Fernando 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Brandon Goodwin 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Skylar Mays 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter