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2021-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 46.6% 53.4% -
Margin 47.4% 52.6% +0.6 (5.4 off)
Pythagorean 64.4% 35.6% -
Efficiency 81.7% 18.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 79.4% 20.6% -
Log Adjusted 79.4% 20.6% -
Points Off/Def 68.2% 31.8% -

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +6 (128-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 34 7-15 1-3 7-8 1 7 1 0 22 - -
Dillon Brooks * 31 7-18 2-7 3-4 1 3 1 0 19 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 29 6-10 0-0 4-7 14 4 2 0 16 - -
Kyle Anderson * 23 6-7 1-2 0-0 3 3 1 0 13 - -
Desmond Bane * 22 3-6 1-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 7 - -
Brandon Clarke 25 3-6 0-0 4-6 6 2 1 2 10 - -
Justise Winslow 23 3-9 1-2 0-0 4 1 2 0 7 - -
De'Anthony Melton 18 6-11 1-4 0-0 0 3 3 0 13 - -
Xavier Tillman 16 2-3 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 1 5 - -
Tyus Jones 13 4-7 0-0 2-2 0 3 0 0 10 - -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aleksej Pokusevski * 39 7-13 5-8 4-4 10 4 1 1 23 - -
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 34 8-17 4-6 10-11 4 5 0 0 30 - -
Ty Jerome * 29 5-12 2-8 0-0 6 5 2 0 12 - -
Moses Brown * 24 5-6 0-0 3-3 4 1 1 1 13 - -
Justin Jackson * 21 1-5 1-3 1-2 4 2 1 0 4 - -
Isaiah Roby 33 3-4 0-0 4-6 8 1 1 2 10 - -
Kenrich Williams 25 7-8 1-1 2-4 4 3 0 0 17 - -
Darius Miller 20 3-4 2-3 3-3 3 4 1 0 11 - -
Mike Muscala 12 3-4 1-2 1-1 3 1 0 0 8 - -

* = starter