Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.0% | 65.0% | +3.4 | ✗ (16.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -13 (103-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Richardson * | 35 | 6-11 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 32 | 7-16 | 3-10 | 4-6 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 31 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 28 | 10-15 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 25 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 27 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 25 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 23 | 4-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 12 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tyler Bey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 36 | 10-20 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 36 | 8-17 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 35 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 23 | 7-9 | 4-5 | 5-7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 22 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 26 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 23 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 18 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Markus Howard | 2 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Greg Whittington | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 2 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter