Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 22.9% | 77.1% | +6.7 | ✗ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -4 (121-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 35 | 7-19 | 3-10 | 8-9 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Robert Covington * | 31 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Enes Kanter * | 31 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 29 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 21 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Carmelo Anthony | 31 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 8-8 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Nassir Little | 22 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Rodney Hood | 21 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons | 14 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 34 | 12-21 | 2-4 | 8-8 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 34 | - | - | |
| Ricky Rubio * | 32 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Anthony Edwards * | 29 | 8-18 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jake Layman * | 28 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jarred Vanderbilt * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Nowell | 27 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 23 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jaden McDaniels | 21 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid | 13 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | - |
* = starter