Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.1% | 69.9% | +4.6 | ✓ (10.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +15 (121-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox * | 40 | 11-24 | 2-10 | 8-10 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 39 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 36 | 4-16 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes * | 35 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III * | 23 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton | 24 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 17 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jahmi'us Ramsey | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kyle Guy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Justin James | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| DaQuan Jeffries | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 31 | 9-17 | 5-10 | 5-7 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 27 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 8-10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Tony Snell * | 26 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 26 | 10-12 | 0-0 | 4-10 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 25 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari | 29 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Solomon Hill | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 21 | 2-12 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Rajon Rondo | 14 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Brandon Goodwin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nathan Knight | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Skylar Mays | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter