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2021-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 60.6% 39.4% -
Bradley-Terry 53.2% 46.8% -
Margin 57.5% 42.5% -1.7 (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 49.6% 50.4% -
Efficiency 51.7% 48.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.7% 46.3% -
Log Adjusted 53.8% 46.2% -
Points Off/Def 47.7% 52.3% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets +10 (114-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Lowry * 30 7-16 3-7 2-2 6 8 1 0 19 - -
Norman Powell * 27 4-14 3-8 2-2 3 2 3 0 13 - -
DeAndre' Bembry * 25 5-9 0-2 1-2 6 2 2 2 11 - -
Stanley Johnson * 14 1-5 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Aron Baynes * 12 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 - -
Chris Boucher 32 4-10 0-2 8-9 6 2 0 3 16 - -
Paul Watson 27 5-10 2-6 0-0 1 2 2 0 12 - -
Matt Thomas 20 2-7 1-4 1-1 5 0 0 0 6 - -
Henry Ellenson 18 4-9 1-5 0-0 9 3 0 0 9 - -
Terence Davis 13 3-7 2-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 8 - -
Yuta Watanabe 13 0-4 0-1 1-2 4 2 1 0 1 - -
Jalen Harris 5 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LaMelo Ball * 31 7-11 6-9 3-3 9 6 1 1 23 - -
Gordon Hayward * 26 4-7 1-3 0-0 7 5 2 1 9 - -
P.J. Washington * 25 3-9 2-5 3-3 6 3 2 1 11 - -
Cody Zeller * 22 4-4 0-0 2-3 7 1 2 0 10 - -
Terry Rozier * 22 5-13 4-11 3-3 2 3 1 0 17 - -
Bismack Biyombo 20 1-6 0-0 1-2 3 2 0 1 3 - -
Malik Monk 19 6-10 2-6 2-2 2 1 1 1 16 - -
Devonte' Graham 17 6-11 5-9 0-0 2 4 0 0 17 - -
Miles Bridges 16 1-2 0-1 0-0 6 1 1 0 2 - -
Cody Martin 13 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 3 0 0 3 - -
Caleb Martin 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Jalen McDaniels 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 - -
Nick Richards 5 0-0 0-0 1-3 1 0 0 0 1 - -
Vernon Carey Jr. 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Nate Darling 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter