Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.6% | 62.4% | +2.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +5 (105-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 35 | 12-20 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday * | 33 | 2-11 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 33 | 7-15 | 0-3 | 6-8 | 14 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott * | 29 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 27 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Lamb | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 14 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Edmond Sumner | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 34 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 7-11 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder * | 34 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 27 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris * | 18 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Damian Jones * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Montrezl Harrell | 32 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | - | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma | 30 | 8-18 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Talen Horton-Tucker | 17 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter