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2021-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 33.9% 66.1% - ✓
Margin 30.3% 69.7% +4.6 ✓ (22.4 off)
Pythagorean 35.3% 64.7% - ✓
Efficiency 22.2% 77.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 22.8% 77.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 22.7% 77.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 28.7% 71.3% - ✓

Actual: San Antonio Spurs +27 (104-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dwayne Bacon * 33 5-16 3-8 2-2 2 3 0 0 15 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 29 12-18 2-2 0-0 9 3 0 0 26 - -
Chuma Okeke * 27 2-9 1-7 3-3 3 2 1 1 8 - -
Al-Farouq Aminu * 24 1-3 0-1 2-2 8 0 1 0 4 - -
Michael Carter-Williams * 20 2-9 1-3 0-0 4 3 0 0 5 - -
Chasson Randle 36 2-7 1-5 0-0 3 3 0 0 5 - -
Gary Clark 26 3-10 2-7 0-1 6 1 1 0 8 - -
Khem Birch 23 1-3 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 - -
Mo Bamba 18 1-5 0-3 2-4 7 1 0 3 4 - -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dejounte Murray * 30 8-19 0-1 1-2 6 6 2 0 17 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 29 3-6 0-0 0-0 9 6 1 0 6 - -
Derrick White * 25 7-12 2-4 1-1 1 2 0 0 17 - -
Keldon Johnson * 22 5-9 0-2 1-2 5 0 0 1 11 - -
Trey Lyles * 12 0-1 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 1 - -
Lonnie Walker IV 25 2-8 1-4 0-0 6 1 0 0 5 - -
Patty Mills 23 4-10 2-8 3-4 3 2 3 0 13 - -
Rudy Gay 20 5-9 3-5 6-6 1 1 1 2 19 - -
Drew Eubanks 18 2-6 0-0 1-1 5 2 1 2 5 - -
Devin Vassell 17 3-6 2-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 8 - -
Luka Samanic 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Tre Jones 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Keita Bates-Diop 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter