🐻⬇️🏀

@
2021-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 56.7% 43.3% - ✗
Margin 62.7% 37.3% -2.9 ✗ (36.9 off)
Pythagorean 33.5% 66.5% - ✓
Efficiency 17.9% 82.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 20.0% 80.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 19.9% 80.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 26.0% 74.0% - ✓

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +34 (116-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jarrett Allen * 32 2-6 0-0 1-2 7 2 1 3 5 - -
Collin Sexton * 31 7-18 0-3 5-5 2 1 3 0 19 - -
Larry Nance Jr. * 28 4-8 2-4 1-2 4 1 0 1 11 - -
Isaac Okoro * 28 1-8 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Kevin Love * 10 1-4 1-3 1-2 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Cedi Osman 23 1-9 0-6 4-4 1 1 1 1 6 - -
Dylan Windler 17 4-9 0-3 0-0 5 0 1 0 8 - -
Quinn Cook 16 5-8 3-4 0-0 4 2 1 0 13 - -
Damyean Dotson 16 0-4 0-2 2-2 5 3 1 0 2 - -
Dean Wade 14 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 3 0 - -
JaVale McGee 12 3-6 0-1 1-1 2 1 0 1 7 - -
Brodric Thomas 4 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Lamar Stevens 2 1-2 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 25 11-14 3-6 3-4 7 4 0 1 28 - -
Lonzo Ball * 25 1-7 1-5 0-0 4 6 1 1 3 - -
Steven Adams * 21 5-5 0-0 0-0 17 2 0 0 10 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 20 0-4 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 - -
Zion Williamson * 17 9-16 0-0 5-6 6 0 0 1 23 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 23 6-13 1-5 2-2 8 4 0 0 15 - -
Kira Lewis Jr. 22 2-10 1-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 5 - -
Josh Hart 22 3-7 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 6 - -
Jaxson Hayes 20 5-6 0-0 3-3 6 1 0 1 13 - -
Nicolo Melli 19 3-8 0-1 2-2 6 3 0 0 8 - -
Willy Hernangomez 6 2-7 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 1 4 - -
Sindarius Thornwell 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 - -
Naji Marshall 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 4 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 - -

* = starter