Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.3% | 55.7% | +1.3 | ✗ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -1 (102-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 36 | 13-22 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 34 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 32 | 1-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 31 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 30 | 8-14 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 21 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap | 21 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 19 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 36 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Ja Morant * | 34 | 5-16 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 33 | 8-20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Desmond Bane * | 17 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 29 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 20 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton | 23 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Justise Winslow | 21 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter