Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.6% | 55.4% | +1.2 | ✓ (18.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +20 (125-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Oladipo * | 33 | 7-21 | 1-8 | 8-9 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown * | 31 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 29 | 8-11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 25 | 6-17 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Justin Patton * | 24 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 32 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. | 29 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Ben McLemore | 20 | 5-13 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Anthony Lamb | 13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buddy Hield * | 38 | 7-19 | 5-13 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes * | 34 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 33 | 11-19 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 31 | 8-15 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 33 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton | 18 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| DaQuan Jeffries | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Justin James | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kyle Guy | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter