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2021-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 49.4% 50.6% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 60.8% 39.2% - ✓
Margin 70.9% 29.1% -4.9 ✓ (1.1 off)
Pythagorean 52.0% 48.0% - ✓
Efficiency 64.8% 35.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 63.7% 36.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 63.7% 36.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 54.7% 45.3% - ✓

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -6 (121-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikal Bridges * 39 8-10 1-2 1-1 4 2 1 1 18 - -
Devin Booker * 35 12-21 3-5 8-8 5 8 0 0 35 - -
Chris Paul * 31 7-15 2-4 3-3 5 7 0 0 19 - -
Deandre Ayton * 22 5-8 0-0 1-3 4 0 1 0 11 - -
Frank Kaminsky * 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 - -
Jae Crowder 30 5-8 3-5 0-0 7 1 0 0 13 - -
Dario Saric 24 5-9 0-2 1-2 5 2 0 0 11 - -
Cameron Payne 20 4-5 3-3 2-2 3 6 1 0 13 - -
Abdel Nader 20 2-3 1-1 0-0 5 1 2 0 5 - -
E'Twaun Moore 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 37 10-23 5-12 5-5 7 8 2 0 30 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 35 5-16 4-11 3-4 2 2 0 0 17 - -
Robert Covington * 34 5-11 3-6 0-0 6 2 2 1 13 - -
Enes Kanter * 27 7-10 0-0 2-2 11 3 0 1 16 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. * 25 3-4 1-2 2-2 2 2 1 0 9 - -
Carmelo Anthony 22 4-12 2-5 3-3 5 0 0 0 13 - -
Nassir Little 20 3-4 1-1 0-1 4 1 0 0 7 - -
Rodney Hood 20 2-5 0-1 2-2 2 5 2 0 6 - -
Anfernee Simons 16 4-9 2-5 0-0 2 3 1 0 10 - -

* = starter