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2021-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors LA Clippers Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 44.9% 55.1% - ✓
Margin 47.7% 52.3% +0.5 ✓ (25.5 off)
Pythagorean 42.9% 57.1% - ✓
Efficiency 32.4% 67.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 32.9% 67.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 32.9% 67.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 33.4% 66.6% - ✓

Actual: LA Clippers +26 (130-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 32 7-14 1-5 0-2 6 0 0 1 15 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 28 5-12 1-4 4-4 8 1 0 0 15 - -
Stephen Curry * 26 6-16 1-8 1-2 4 3 2 1 14 - -
Draymond Green * 25 3-7 2-3 4-4 3 2 2 1 12 - -
Kevon Looney * 12 0-1 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 2 - -
Nico Mannion 21 3-7 1-3 3-4 3 2 1 0 10 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 19 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 1 0 - -
Jordan Poole 19 5-10 2-6 2-2 3 4 0 0 14 - -
Kent Bazemore 15 1-5 0-3 2-4 0 1 1 0 4 - -
Eric Paschall 15 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 2 2 - -
James Wiseman 12 6-7 1-1 1-3 7 0 0 0 14 - -
Damion Lee 10 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kawhi Leonard * 31 10-17 5-7 3-3 9 4 3 0 28 - -
Paul George * 26 5-14 3-6 4-5 7 5 3 0 17 - -
Serge Ibaka * 22 7-12 1-3 1-1 14 1 0 0 16 - -
Nicolas Batum * 15 3-5 2-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 8 - -
Patrick Beverley * 10 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 1 3 - -
Reggie Jackson 23 1-7 1-3 2-2 6 4 0 0 5 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. 23 3-6 2-4 1-2 2 2 0 1 9 - -
Terance Mann 16 1-4 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 3 3 - -
Ivica Zubac 15 2-3 0-0 5-6 3 0 0 1 9 - -
Lou Williams 14 5-7 1-2 3-4 3 3 2 0 14 - -
Luke Kennard 12 4-8 0-3 0-0 2 2 2 0 8 - -
Amir Coffey 11 0-5 0-3 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Patrick Patterson 11 1-2 1-2 1-2 4 0 0 0 4 - -
Mfiondu Kabengele 4 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 4 - -

* = starter