Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.7% | 57.3% | +1.6 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 83.4% | 16.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.1% | 18.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.2% | 18.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +8 (116-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 35 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson * | 35 | 10-15 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 27 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 35 | 9-15 | 2-4 | 6-10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 28 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein * | 20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 32 | 7-18 | 4-8 | 6-9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 18 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| James Johnson | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Theo Maledon * | 35 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 32 | 11-22 | 1-5 | 9-9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 30 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Aleksej Pokusevski * | 29 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 27 | 8-15 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 | - | - | |
| Ty Jerome | 26 | 1-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Moses Brown | 19 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Roby | 19 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter