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2021-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 74.5% 25.5% -
Bradley-Terry 56.5% 43.5% -
Margin 62.3% 37.7% -2.8 (27.2 off)
Pythagorean 38.9% 61.1% -
Efficiency 27.0% 73.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.5% 70.5% -
Log Adjusted 29.4% 70.6% -
Points Off/Def 31.4% 68.6% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -30 (105-135). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 37 10-22 2-5 5-6 4 2 3 0 27 - -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 28 7-19 2-10 0-0 7 1 0 2 16 - -
Ricky Rubio * 27 1-6 0-2 4-4 1 8 2 1 6 - -
Jake Layman * 23 4-7 3-5 1-1 2 0 0 1 12 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt * 16 1-4 0-0 0-0 6 4 0 0 2 - -
Jaylen Nowell 28 11-13 6-7 0-0 5 6 1 1 28 - -
Jaden McDaniels 25 8-9 4-5 0-1 4 1 2 3 20 - -
Josh Okogie 23 0-3 0-2 4-4 4 4 1 0 4 - -
Naz Reid 23 7-9 1-3 0-0 4 1 2 2 15 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 5 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zion Williamson * 30 9-13 0-0 6-11 5 2 0 0 24 - -
Brandon Ingram * 28 5-14 1-6 2-3 3 4 0 1 13 - -
Steven Adams * 28 6-10 0-1 1-2 12 0 1 0 13 - -
Lonzo Ball * 28 3-12 3-9 1-2 2 7 2 1 10 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 20 1-8 0-4 0-0 2 2 0 1 2 - -
Josh Hart 25 2-8 0-3 1-1 13 3 0 0 5 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 24 4-10 1-3 1-1 4 2 0 1 10 - -
Kira Lewis Jr. 22 5-12 1-3 0-0 2 4 3 1 11 - -
Jaxson Hayes 11 5-5 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 1 11 - -
Sindarius Thornwell 6 1-4 0-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 - -
Nicolo Melli 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 - -
Willy Hernangomez 6 1-2 0-0 0-2 1 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter