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2021-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 45.5% 54.5% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 47.2% 52.8% - ✗
Margin 49.5% 50.5% +0.1 ✗ (22.1 off)
Pythagorean 54.3% 45.7% - ✓
Efficiency 68.8% 31.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 68.4% 31.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 68.4% 31.6% - ✓
Points Off/Def 58.5% 41.5% - ✓

Actual: Chicago Bulls -22 (105-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Danny Green * 33 3-9 3-7 0-0 6 4 0 1 9 - -
Matisse Thybulle * 28 5-5 3-3 0-0 4 1 5 0 13 - -
Tobias Harris * 25 8-15 1-3 7-8 3 4 0 0 24 - -
Seth Curry * 25 5-15 1-6 1-1 2 7 2 0 12 - -
Tony Bradley * 21 7-7 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 3 14 - -
Dwight Howard 24 8-12 0-1 2-4 12 0 1 2 18 - -
Shake Milton 24 5-15 0-2 0-0 8 3 0 1 10 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 24 7-14 1-6 1-2 1 4 3 0 16 - -
Mike Scott 22 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 5 - -
Tyrese Maxey 4 2-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 4 - -
Terrance Ferguson 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Vincent Poirier 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 32 7-16 1-5 4-4 4 7 0 0 19 - -
Patrick Williams * 31 1-4 1-2 1-2 1 4 1 0 4 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 27 8-11 7-7 0-0 4 0 0 1 23 - -
Coby White * 24 7-16 4-7 0-0 2 4 0 0 18 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 15 3-8 0-1 2-2 9 1 0 2 8 - -
Tomas Satoransky 24 2-4 0-2 4-4 1 4 0 0 8 - -
Garrett Temple 19 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 - -
Otto Porter Jr. 17 1-6 1-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 - -
Thaddeus Young 17 6-9 0-0 2-2 8 2 0 2 14 - -
Daniel Gafford 9 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Luke Kornet 7 0-1 0-1 0-2 0 0 0 1 0 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Denzel Valentine 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter