Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.8% | 56.2% | +1.4 | ✗ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -1 (120-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 36 | 11-24 | 2-7 | 13-16 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 37 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 31 | 6-16 | 3-9 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 28 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - | - | |
| Tony Snell * | 26 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari | 29 | 6-10 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Solomon Hill | 22 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 16 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Rajon Rondo | 11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Lowry * | 38 | 5-17 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Norman Powell * | 38 | 11-20 | 6-10 | 5-7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| DeAndre' Bembry * | 36 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Aron Baynes * | 29 | 4-15 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Stanley Johnson * | 26 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 30 | 10-15 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 29 | - | - | |
| Paul Watson | 20 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis | 9 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Yuta Watanabe | 7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Matt Thomas | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter