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2021-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Brooklyn Nets Spread Result
Elo 83.7% 16.3% -
Bradley-Terry 57.2% 42.8% -
Margin 70.0% 30.0% -4.7 (16.7 off)
Pythagorean 42.1% 57.9% -
Efficiency 29.8% 70.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.6% 67.4% -
Log Adjusted 32.6% 67.4% -
Points Off/Def 33.8% 66.2% -

Actual: Brooklyn Nets +12 (121-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 40 5-23 3-12 0-1 5 6 4 0 13 - -
Jayson Tatum * 35 13-22 3-7 2-2 5 3 1 0 31 - -
Kemba Walker * 34 5-12 1-7 0-0 3 2 1 1 11 - -
Daniel Theis * 28 7-10 1-3 2-2 8 0 2 1 17 - -
Tristan Thompson * 19 4-6 0-0 0-4 6 2 0 0 8 - -
Marcus Smart 20 4-6 3-5 8-9 2 2 0 1 19 - -
Grant Williams 16 0-2 0-2 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 - -
Robert Williams III 16 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 4 1 6 2 - -
Jeff Teague 15 1-1 1-1 2-4 1 1 0 1 5 - -
Payton Pritchard 13 1-5 1-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 3 - -

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 37 6-16 1-8 9-9 10 8 1 2 22 - -
Kyrie Irving * 34 15-23 5-8 5-5 8 3 1 1 40 - -
Joe Harris * 31 4-10 3-9 1-2 3 0 1 1 12 - -
DeAndre Jordan * 26 2-3 0-0 0-2 8 1 0 0 4 - -
Bruce Brown * 18 2-9 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 4 - -
Landry Shamet 32 6-12 6-9 0-0 4 2 0 0 18 - -
Jeff Green 24 3-8 2-4 3-4 3 3 0 0 11 - -
Nicolas Claxton 17 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 4 - -
Tyler Johnson 16 2-4 2-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 6 - -

* = starter