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2021-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 48.8% 51.2% -
Margin 48.7% 51.3% +0.3 (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 44.4% 55.6% -
Efficiency 38.9% 61.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.4% 58.6% -
Log Adjusted 41.3% 58.7% -
Points Off/Def 39.8% 60.2% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets +3 (105-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jerami Grant * 33 11-24 2-9 8-9 8 4 1 0 32 - -
Saddiq Bey * 28 4-11 4-9 2-2 3 0 0 0 14 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk * 26 4-11 3-10 0-0 4 8 2 0 11 - -
Mason Plumlee * 25 4-4 0-0 1-3 8 3 1 1 9 - -
Delon Wright * 21 2-4 1-3 0-0 3 4 0 0 5 - -
Isaiah Stewart 22 3-3 1-1 0-0 8 2 1 0 7 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 21 2-7 2-5 0-0 3 2 0 2 6 - -
Wayne Ellington 20 2-7 1-6 0-0 5 1 0 0 5 - -
Josh Jackson 19 4-10 1-3 0-0 4 2 0 2 9 - -
Rodney McGruder 9 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Sekou Doumbouya 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Saben Lee 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gordon Hayward * 38 4-15 1-2 8-8 3 3 1 0 17 - -
P.J. Washington * 32 6-10 2-4 6-6 9 3 1 2 20 - -
Terry Rozier * 31 6-14 3-9 2-3 1 2 3 0 17 - -
LaMelo Ball * 29 3-11 1-5 0-0 5 9 1 0 7 - -
Cody Zeller * 26 5-11 0-0 5-5 7 1 0 0 15 - -
Miles Bridges 23 3-6 0-2 0-0 8 1 0 0 6 - -
Devonte' Graham 18 2-7 1-4 2-2 2 6 1 0 7 - -
Malik Monk 17 4-11 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 9 - -
Bismack Biyombo 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 1 2 - -
Cody Martin 10 2-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 - -

* = starter