Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.0% | 70.0% | +4.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +11 (115-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 37 | 12-19 | 1-1 | 5-8 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 35 | 5-15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 32 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 27 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 21 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 28 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 26 | 4-12 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 17 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Luka Samanic | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 38 | 9-20 | 2-10 | 2-3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 34 | 11-17 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 32 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson * | 32 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 31 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 23 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 20 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 13 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| James Johnson | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter