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2021-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 24.4% 75.6% -
Margin 13.4% 86.6% +10.3 (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 42.5% 57.5% -
Efficiency 34.4% 65.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.7% 66.3% -
Log Adjusted 33.6% 66.4% -
Points Off/Def 35.1% 64.9% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +15 (127-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Russell Westbrook * 35 10-19 0-3 0-1 5 10 3 0 20 - -
Bradley Beal * 34 6-22 1-8 8-8 3 5 3 1 21 - -
Rui Hachimura * 25 3-10 1-3 4-4 6 0 0 0 11 - -
Moritz Wagner * 21 2-9 0-4 2-2 4 1 1 1 6 - -
Garrison Mathews * 15 2-3 2-3 3-3 2 0 0 1 9 - -
Deni Avdija 24 5-8 3-5 0-0 6 1 1 0 13 - -
Raul Neto 24 2-5 1-1 2-2 2 2 0 1 7 - -
Robin Lopez 23 2-5 0-0 3-4 6 1 0 0 7 - -
Davis Bertans 20 5-10 3-7 0-0 2 0 1 0 13 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 13 1-3 0-2 3-3 2 3 0 2 5 - -
Alex Len 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jonas Valanciunas * 32 12-21 0-2 5-7 20 3 0 4 29 - -
Ja Morant * 32 7-14 0-2 7-12 6 10 0 0 21 - -
Desmond Bane * 30 7-13 5-8 1-1 4 1 1 0 20 - -
Dillon Brooks * 25 4-7 1-2 1-2 2 2 1 0 10 - -
Kyle Anderson * 22 5-11 1-4 2-2 5 3 0 0 13 - -
Brandon Clarke 25 3-4 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 1 6 - -
Justise Winslow 21 4-13 0-1 1-2 6 4 0 1 9 - -
De'Anthony Melton 18 5-7 1-2 0-1 2 3 2 0 11 - -
Xavier Tillman 15 2-4 0-1 2-2 3 1 0 0 6 - -
Tyus Jones 15 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 - -

* = starter