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2021-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons New York Knicks Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 31.2% 68.8% -
Margin 24.9% 75.1% +6.1 (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 38.6% 61.4% -
Efficiency 25.4% 74.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.6% 72.4% -
Log Adjusted 27.6% 72.4% -
Points Off/Def 30.9% 69.1% -

Actual: New York Knicks +10 (114-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Wayne Ellington * 38 6-14 4-10 1-1 0 3 1 0 17 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk * 36 4-10 3-8 0-0 3 5 2 0 11 - -
Saddiq Bey * 35 4-12 2-8 4-4 3 4 1 0 14 - -
Mason Plumlee * 27 4-7 0-0 4-6 13 4 0 1 12 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. * 26 5-9 2-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 12 - -
Saben Lee 21 1-5 0-0 3-4 3 3 0 1 5 - -
Isaiah Stewart 20 5-6 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 10 - -
Rodney McGruder 18 6-10 1-3 0-0 0 1 2 0 13 - -
Sekou Doumbouya 15 4-7 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 10 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 42 11-19 1-4 4-6 16 7 0 1 27 - -
Nerlens Noel * 42 5-5 0-0 2-2 11 2 4 2 12 - -
Elfrid Payton * 35 7-14 1-2 5-6 6 4 4 1 20 - -
Reggie Bullock * 32 4-13 2-9 2-3 4 2 1 0 12 - -
RJ Barrett * 30 9-13 1-2 2-2 4 5 0 0 21 - -
Alec Burks 19 4-9 1-3 0-0 2 3 1 0 9 - -
Frank Ntilikina 12 3-4 3-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 9 - -
Immanuel Quickley 12 0-4 0-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 - -
Obi Toppin 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 - -

* = starter