Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.2% | 51.8% | +0.4 | ✗ (17.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.6% | 15.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.5% | 17.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.5% | 17.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -17 (103-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 38 | 21-25 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 50 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 34 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 32 | 8-16 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 32 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green * | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 29 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 28 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| R.J. Hampton | 20 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Markus Howard | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Sexton * | 37 | 8-17 | 3-7 | 4-6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Darius Garland * | 35 | 6-15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Isaac Okoro * | 34 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 33 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman * | 26 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Dylan Windler | 25 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Damyean Dotson | 18 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 14 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Lamar Stevens | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter