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2021-02-15

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 39.6% 60.4% -
Margin 38.7% 61.3% +2.5 (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 52.9% 47.1% -
Efficiency 62.3% 37.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 62.3% 37.7% -
Log Adjusted 62.4% 37.6% -
Points Off/Def 53.3% 46.7% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons +11 (123-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 38 7-19 3-10 9-10 4 7 1 0 26 - -
Zion Williamson * 35 10-20 0-0 6-6 8 3 0 2 26 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 31 1-9 1-9 3-5 5 2 0 0 6 - -
Lonzo Ball * 31 5-11 3-7 0-0 4 3 0 0 13 - -
Steven Adams * 29 5-7 0-0 3-5 12 2 0 0 13 - -
Josh Hart 23 4-7 0-2 0-0 3 4 0 0 8 - -
Kira Lewis Jr. 16 4-9 2-5 0-0 0 2 4 0 10 - -
Willy Hernangomez 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 8 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 6 - -
JJ Redick 7 1-4 0-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 4 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Saddiq Bey * 38 6-11 4-8 0-0 4 6 3 0 16 - -
Jerami Grant * 37 4-15 3-7 4-4 2 4 0 2 15 - -
Delon Wright * 36 6-7 1-1 4-4 7 6 0 0 17 - -
Mason Plumlee * 30 8-12 0-0 1-2 10 10 0 0 17 - -
Wayne Ellington * 21 2-6 2-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 6 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 25 7-11 4-8 0-0 2 3 0 2 18 - -
Josh Jackson 21 8-14 2-3 3-5 3 1 0 0 21 - -
Isaiah Stewart 17 1-2 0-1 2-2 6 0 0 3 4 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 11 3-6 1-2 2-3 2 2 0 1 9 - -

* = starter