🐻⬇️🏀

Sacramento Kings 119
@
Portland Trail Blazers 123
2021-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 18.0% 82.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 41.6% 58.4% - ✓
Margin 44.4% 55.6% +1.2 ✓ (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 41.0% 59.0% - ✓
Efficiency 32.8% 67.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 33.0% 67.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 33.0% 67.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 33.3% 66.7% - ✓

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +4 (123-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Aaron Fox * 38 12-26 2-6 6-10 8 12 0 1 32 27 -
Harrison Barnes * 37 7-14 0-1 3-3 5 2 0 0 17 10 -
Buddy Hield * 37 8-17 5-12 0-0 6 3 0 0 21 13 -
Marvin Bagley III * 31 6-13 1-3 1-3 9 3 0 0 14 13 -
Richaun Holmes * 30 6-12 0-0 0-0 11 3 2 2 12 18 -
Cory Joseph 30 5-9 1-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 11 7 -
Nemanja Bjelica 26 5-12 2-3 0-0 9 0 1 0 12 10 -
DaQuan Jeffries 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 38 13-26 8-15 10-10 1 7 0 1 44 27 -
Robert Covington * 36 2-6 1-5 2-2 6 1 3 3 7 14 -
Enes Kanter * 34 11-15 0-0 0-0 21 2 1 1 22 32 -
Gary Trent Jr. * 33 2-11 1-4 2-2 1 2 1 0 7 0 -
Derrick Jones Jr. * 28 2-3 1-2 3-3 4 4 1 1 8 15 -
Carmelo Anthony 24 6-11 1-4 3-4 2 3 0 1 16 11 -
Nassir Little 17 2-8 1-4 4-4 3 0 0 0 9 4 -
Rodney Hood 16 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 1 -
Anfernee Simons 9 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 6 5 -

* = starter