Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.8% | 46.2% | -0.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -5 (102-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 36 | 11-19 | 2-4 | 9-10 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 33 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 36 | 5-16 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley * | 30 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 4-7 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Theo Maledon * | 29 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Roby * | 28 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 25 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 22 | 7-13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Ty Jerome | 19 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 11 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 36 | 8-21 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 34 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles * | 26 | 7-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV * | 23 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 26 | 4-12 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 22 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Luka Samanic | 19 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 15 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter