Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.8% | 59.2% | +2.0 | ✗ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -1 (111-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khris Middleton * | 39 | 6-17 | 1-4 | 9-9 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 36 | 10-19 | 1-1 | 5-9 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 29 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 27 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| D.J. Augustin * | 20 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 30 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday | 22 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 15 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 11 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 38 | 11-25 | 3-13 | 10-11 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 34 | 7-20 | 1-6 | 8-8 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 27 | 6-16 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Desmond Bane * | 18 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 29 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Justise Winslow | 23 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton | 14 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 13 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - |
* = starter