Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.7% | 37.3% | -2.9 | ✓ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -10 (103-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 38 | 8-15 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 37 | 9-14 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 36 | 9-18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 30 | 7-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 30 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 22 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 15 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Turner * | 38 | 9-14 | 3-6 | 1-5 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 22 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 37 | 5-15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 33 | 4-14 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott * | 29 | 8-13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday * | 26 | 6-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 29 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Edmond Sumner | 19 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Lamb | 16 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter