🐻⬇️🏀

@
2021-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 26.1% 73.9% -
Bradley-Terry 29.0% 71.0% -
Margin 19.7% 80.3% +7.7 (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 46.0% 54.0% -
Efficiency 44.1% 55.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.5% 56.5% -
Log Adjusted 43.5% 56.5% -
Points Off/Def 40.4% 59.6% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +7 (132-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Lowry * 40 5-18 3-11 1-2 3 19 1 0 14 - -
Norman Powell * 36 7-17 4-10 7-8 2 4 2 0 25 - -
Stanley Johnson * 35 5-10 4-7 0-0 2 1 2 0 14 - -
Aron Baynes * 29 6-9 1-2 0-0 9 4 1 0 13 - -
DeAndre' Bembry * 19 2-6 0-1 0-0 3 4 0 0 4 - -
Chris Boucher 34 11-15 5-9 3-4 5 0 0 0 30 - -
Terence Davis 31 8-14 3-8 3-3 3 4 0 1 22 - -
Paul Watson 12 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 37 9-15 3-6 6-10 12 5 2 0 27 - -
Jaylen Brown * 33 4-11 2-6 11-16 7 4 0 1 21 - -
Kemba Walker * 33 4-11 2-6 5-5 2 6 0 2 15 - -
Tristan Thompson * 24 6-8 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 13 - -
Daniel Theis * 7 2-3 0-1 1-1 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Jeff Teague 27 6-7 1-2 1-2 1 4 1 1 14 - -
Payton Pritchard 24 3-4 2-3 2-2 2 4 2 0 10 - -
Robert Williams III 23 4-5 0-0 2-2 7 1 0 3 10 - -
Grant Williams 21 7-9 3-4 0-0 4 0 1 0 17 - -
Semi Ojeleye 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter