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2021-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 46.2% 53.8% -
Bradley-Terry 50.5% 49.5% -
Margin 51.4% 48.6% -0.3 (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 55.0% 45.0% -
Efficiency 67.4% 32.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 66.5% 33.5% -
Log Adjusted 66.6% 33.4% -
Points Off/Def 57.9% 42.1% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings +3 (123-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 34 10-20 4-10 1-3 13 3 1 0 25 - -
Dennis Schroder * 34 11-20 2-4 4-5 1 9 1 1 28 - -
Markieff Morris * 30 4-10 3-7 0-0 5 3 0 0 11 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 29 4-4 2-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 10 - -
Damian Jones * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 - -
Montrezl Harrell 32 13-22 0-1 0-0 12 1 0 1 26 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 19 3-9 0-1 3-4 2 5 2 0 9 - -
Wesley Matthews 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 15 4-6 1-2 2-2 2 0 1 0 11 - -
Jared Dudley 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Buddy Hield * 42 11-15 7-11 0-0 6 6 1 0 29 - -
Harrison Barnes * 38 6-13 0-3 8-9 3 6 0 0 20 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 36 9-18 1-4 4-6 0 8 3 0 23 - -
Richaun Holmes * 29 8-12 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 1 16 - -
Marvin Bagley III * 29 7-10 0-1 0-1 5 0 0 0 14 - -
Cory Joseph 34 5-7 3-4 0-0 1 5 0 0 13 - -
Nemanja Bjelica 24 1-3 1-2 3-3 5 6 1 0 6 - -
DaQuan Jeffries 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter