🐻⬇️🏀

@
2021-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 41.0% 59.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 56.6% 43.4% - ✗
Margin 70.6% 29.4% -4.8 ✗ (6.8 off)
Pythagorean 47.2% 52.8% - ✓
Efficiency 49.2% 50.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 46.3% 53.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 46.2% 53.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 42.8% 57.2% - ✓

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +2 (108-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 36 6-15 2-5 0-0 5 3 0 0 14 - -
Draymond Green * 36 2-5 1-1 0-0 9 12 3 0 5 - -
Stephen Curry * 36 13-28 5-14 4-5 7 5 3 0 35 - -
Kent Bazemore * 30 5-12 2-6 0-0 6 1 1 1 12 - -
Kevon Looney * 17 3-7 0-0 3-4 8 0 1 0 9 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 18 1-1 1-1 0-0 8 1 0 0 3 - -
Damion Lee 17 4-9 2-7 0-0 4 0 0 0 10 - -
Mychal Mulder 12 2-6 2-6 0-2 1 0 0 0 6 - -
James Wiseman 11 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Eric Paschall 11 1-7 0-1 1-2 3 1 0 0 3 - -
Brad Wanamaker 11 1-3 0-1 1-1 1 4 0 0 3 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gary Trent Jr. * 39 6-16 1-8 2-2 4 3 1 0 15 - -
Robert Covington * 37 5-12 3-9 2-4 9 1 2 3 15 - -
Damian Lillard * 36 6-17 3-10 7-8 5 6 2 0 22 - -
Enes Kanter * 23 4-5 0-0 3-3 14 0 0 1 11 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. * 18 2-6 2-4 2-2 4 0 0 0 8 - -
Carmelo Anthony 31 8-13 2-6 4-5 2 4 0 0 22 - -
Rodney Hood 27 2-6 1-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 5 - -
Nassir Little 12 0-4 0-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Anfernee Simons 11 3-7 2-5 0-0 4 0 0 0 8 - -

* = starter