Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.0% | 59.0% | +2.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +9 (87-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 34 | 5-15 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Theo Maledon * | 30 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 29 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley * | 28 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 3-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 24 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Ty Jerome | 28 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Roby | 21 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 21 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 14 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 7 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Richardson * | 35 | 5-14 | 1-8 | 5-5 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 34 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 33 | 7-15 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 32 | 5-11 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 31 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 31 | 6-15 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 21 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| James Johnson | 13 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Wes Iwundu | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter