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2021-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 61.0% 39.0% -
Bradley-Terry 52.5% 47.5% -
Margin 51.7% 48.3% -0.4 (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 45.9% 54.1% -
Efficiency 44.8% 55.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.5% 58.5% -
Log Adjusted 41.4% 58.6% -
Points Off/Def 39.9% 60.1% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -4 (124-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Garrett Temple * 36 2-10 0-3 4-4 5 4 1 0 8 - -
Zach LaVine * 35 12-19 4-8 8-8 2 8 2 0 36 - -
Coby White * 32 8-16 4-7 5-5 2 3 1 0 25 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 27 3-11 1-1 0-0 15 4 0 1 7 - -
Patrick Williams * 26 6-7 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 3 13 - -
Thaddeus Young 27 8-10 0-0 2-3 5 3 1 3 18 - -
Tomas Satoransky 20 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 4 1 0 2 - -
Denzel Valentine 14 5-10 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 11 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 13 2-5 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Daniel Gafford 5 1-1 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 1 3 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Eric Bledsoe * 41 3-8 0-4 6-7 5 10 2 0 12 - -
Zion Williamson * 37 10-17 0-0 8-16 9 5 2 1 28 - -
Lonzo Ball * 26 5-10 2-6 0-0 1 5 3 1 12 - -
Brandon Ingram * 24 8-17 1-3 4-4 3 2 1 0 21 - -
Steven Adams * 21 0-1 0-0 0-2 5 0 0 1 0 - -
Josh Hart 33 3-6 2-4 5-5 5 2 2 0 13 - -
JJ Redick 28 9-15 1-5 3-3 2 2 0 0 22 - -
Willy Hernangomez 14 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 6 - -
Jaxson Hayes 11 5-5 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 3 10 - -

* = starter