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2021-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 40.4% 59.6% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 54.9% 45.1% - ✓
Margin 60.6% 39.4% -2.4 ✓ (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 62.9% 37.1% - ✓
Efficiency 80.6% 19.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 78.8% 21.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 78.8% 21.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 67.0% 33.0% - ✓

Actual: Orlando Magic -3 (112-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Danilo Gallinari * 39 8-18 5-10 2-2 9 6 2 1 23 - -
Trae Young * 34 9-19 4-7 10-11 4 8 2 0 32 - -
Tony Snell * 34 4-5 3-4 0-0 3 3 0 1 11 - -
Kevin Huerter * 32 5-11 3-7 0-0 6 3 2 1 13 - -
John Collins * 25 4-11 3-6 4-4 9 1 0 1 15 - -
Solomon Hill 22 3-7 2-5 0-0 0 0 1 0 8 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 20 3-8 1-5 2-2 2 1 0 1 9 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 - -
Rajon Rondo 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 4 0 0 2 - -
Bruno Fernando 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terrence Ross * 41 9-17 4-9 6-6 5 4 1 0 28 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 36 10-21 2-8 7-7 9 3 1 1 29 - -
Michael Carter-Williams * 34 7-12 2-2 4-4 6 6 2 1 20 - -
Dwayne Bacon * 29 1-4 0-2 4-4 2 4 1 0 6 - -
Al-Farouq Aminu * 24 4-13 2-4 4-4 8 2 0 2 14 - -
Chuma Okeke 25 0-3 0-2 2-2 6 0 0 0 2 - -
Chasson Randle 13 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 4 0 0 3 - -
Khem Birch 12 2-3 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 5 - -
Mo Bamba 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 - -
Gary Clark 10 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 1 3 - -

* = starter