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2021-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 34.0% 66.0% -
Margin 28.5% 71.5% +5.1 (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 59.9% 40.1% -
Efficiency 74.9% 25.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 71.3% 28.7% -
Log Adjusted 71.4% 28.6% -
Points Off/Def 60.2% 39.8% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -3 (111-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 37 7-12 0-2 4-7 5 6 1 1 18 - -
Justin Holiday * 37 3-13 2-10 0-0 3 2 2 1 8 - -
Malcolm Brogdon * 35 12-15 3-3 2-3 4 3 2 0 29 - -
Myles Turner * 28 4-8 2-4 2-2 2 0 0 4 12 - -
Doug McDermott * 23 5-9 1-3 1-1 3 1 0 0 12 - -
T.J. McConnell 36 8-8 0-0 0-0 4 13 10 1 16 - -
Jeremy Lamb 19 4-7 0-2 3-3 5 2 2 0 11 - -
Edmond Sumner 17 4-8 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 1 8 - -
Aaron Holiday 4 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Collin Sexton * 43 12-25 2-5 6-6 4 10 3 0 32 - -
Isaac Okoro * 32 3-4 0-0 1-1 2 2 1 0 7 - -
Dean Wade * 30 6-9 5-8 0-0 6 2 1 0 17 - -
Jarrett Allen * 29 6-7 0-0 5-5 11 1 0 0 17 - -
Darius Garland * 19 6-9 3-4 1-1 0 5 0 0 16 - -
Dylan Windler 21 1-4 0-2 1-2 6 2 1 0 3 - -
Taurean Prince 19 2-6 1-3 0-0 3 4 0 0 5 - -
JaVale McGee 18 5-7 0-1 0-0 6 0 1 1 10 - -
Cedi Osman 17 1-8 0-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 - -
Damyean Dotson 8 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 - -

* = starter