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2021-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 72.1% 27.9% -
Bradley-Terry 54.7% 45.3% -
Margin 59.9% 40.1% -2.2 (7.8 off)
Pythagorean 49.9% 50.1% -
Efficiency 58.4% 41.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.9% 42.1% -
Log Adjusted 57.9% 42.1% -
Points Off/Def 50.4% 49.6% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -10 (104-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikal Bridges * 35 6-10 3-6 4-4 6 5 0 0 19 - -
Jae Crowder * 35 5-8 4-5 1-2 4 1 1 0 15 - -
Chris Paul * 33 1-4 1-3 5-6 5 10 1 0 8 - -
Deandre Ayton * 24 7-14 0-0 3-3 5 1 0 1 17 - -
Devin Booker * 23 7-12 1-3 2-2 3 6 3 0 17 - -
Dario Saric 26 7-17 2-5 5-6 5 3 1 0 21 - -
Abdel Nader 23 2-5 2-3 2-2 3 1 1 3 8 - -
Cameron Johnson 21 3-5 3-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 9 - -
Cameron Payne 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
E'Twaun Moore 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dennis Schroder * 38 6-17 2-5 3-4 3 6 0 1 17 - -
LeBron James * 37 16-24 3-8 3-5 5 6 2 1 38 - -
Markieff Morris * 33 5-6 2-3 0-0 6 0 1 2 12 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 31 1-7 0-5 2-2 5 1 2 0 4 - -
Montrezl Harrell * 18 2-4 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 1 6 - -
Wesley Matthews 22 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 - -
Alex Caruso 20 2-4 2-3 1-2 6 4 0 0 7 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 18 6-9 2-5 2-2 3 0 0 0 16 - -
Jared Dudley 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 - -
Damian Jones 7 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 4 - -

* = starter