Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.3% | 54.7% | +1.0 | ✗ (32.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -31 (97-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 37 | 10-17 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 36 | 15-23 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 10 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 37 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 34 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 29 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 24 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 22 | 8-17 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 15 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Greg Whittington | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 32 | 10-15 | 0-3 | 7-10 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 27 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 29 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 5-8 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| D.J. Augustin * | 26 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 24 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 21 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 26 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday | 18 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 17 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| D.J. Wilson | 4 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Sam Merrill | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter