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2021-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 38.6% 61.4% - ✗
Margin 33.6% 66.4% +3.8 ✗ (27.8 off)
Pythagorean 41.8% 58.2% - ✗
Efficiency 34.4% 65.6% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 34.8% 65.2% - ✗
Log Adjusted 34.7% 65.3% - ✗
Points Off/Def 35.6% 64.4% - ✗

Actual: Toronto Raptors -24 (105-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Svi Mykhailiuk * 36 6-11 5-9 0-2 4 1 2 0 17 - -
Mason Plumlee * 28 6-12 0-0 2-5 11 10 1 1 14 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. * 27 3-9 2-5 2-2 12 11 3 0 10 - -
Wayne Ellington * 26 8-11 8-11 1-1 3 0 2 0 25 - -
Saddiq Bey * 24 3-9 1-5 0-0 4 2 0 0 7 - -
Sekou Doumbouya 27 4-8 0-4 1-1 1 1 1 0 9 - -
Rodney McGruder 26 7-14 4-6 2-3 3 5 2 0 20 - -
Saben Lee 20 8-11 0-0 4-5 4 7 0 1 20 - -
Isaiah Stewart 19 3-5 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 2 6 - -
Deividas Sirvydis 3 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Norman Powell * 38 14-20 5-8 3-3 5 1 1 0 36 - -
Kyle Lowry * 35 5-11 3-5 8-9 4 6 1 1 21 - -
Aron Baynes * 23 4-7 1-3 4-4 4 1 1 0 13 - -
Terence Davis * 21 2-11 0-5 2-3 3 2 2 0 6 - -
Yuta Watanabe * 10 0-3 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 - -
DeAndre' Bembry 27 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 5 0 1 0 - -
Chris Boucher 24 5-11 1-5 7-9 8 1 1 2 18 - -
Matt Thomas 22 4-7 2-3 1-2 0 0 0 0 11 - -
Paul Watson 18 0-3 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 - -
Stanley Johnson 17 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 - -

* = starter