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2021-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 62.9% 37.1% -
Bradley-Terry 55.2% 44.8% -
Margin 59.4% 40.6% -2.1 (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 52.7% 47.3% -
Efficiency 64.1% 35.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 65.6% 34.4% -
Log Adjusted 65.7% 34.3% -
Points Off/Def 56.3% 43.7% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -6 (112-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Jokic * 38 17-28 0-3 5-5 14 9 1 2 39 - -
Will Barton * 36 5-13 1-4 3-3 6 2 1 0 14 - -
Michael Porter Jr. * 35 7-10 2-4 1-1 15 1 1 1 17 - -
Jamal Murray * 35 8-14 4-8 4-4 2 3 0 1 24 - -
Monte Morris * 33 3-7 1-2 0-0 2 4 0 0 7 - -
Vlatko Cancar 20 3-6 1-3 1-1 4 1 1 0 8 - -
PJ Dozier 18 1-4 1-2 2-6 1 2 0 1 5 - -
Zeke Nnaji 13 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 2 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Coby White * 37 7-17 2-7 4-4 10 3 0 0 20 - -
Patrick Williams * 31 5-11 2-4 1-3 4 0 0 1 13 - -
Zach LaVine * 31 9-20 1-8 4-6 9 5 1 1 23 - -
Garrett Temple * 23 4-8 0-3 1-1 3 2 0 1 9 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 22 2-4 0-0 4-6 3 2 0 0 8 - -
Thaddeus Young 28 6-9 0-0 0-0 5 4 5 0 12 - -
Denzel Valentine 24 5-15 3-8 0-0 4 3 0 0 13 - -
Tomas Satoransky 19 1-4 1-2 0-0 4 5 0 0 3 - -
Luke Kornet 10 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 6 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 9 1-2 1-2 2-2 1 0 1 0 5 - -

* = starter