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2021-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 19.7% 80.3% -
Bradley-Terry 33.8% 66.2% -
Margin 31.4% 68.6% +4.3 (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 40.2% 59.8% -
Efficiency 25.6% 74.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.2% 72.8% -
Log Adjusted 27.2% 72.8% -
Points Off/Def 30.3% 69.7% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +16 (130-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 33 6-12 0-3 3-3 9 7 0 0 15 - -
Justin Holiday * 30 4-9 4-8 0-0 2 2 2 0 12 - -
Malcolm Brogdon * 29 9-17 0-3 2-2 4 4 0 0 20 - -
Myles Turner * 27 4-7 0-2 3-4 3 0 1 1 11 - -
Doug McDermott * 20 4-9 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 9 - -
Edmond Sumner 28 7-14 1-3 3-4 3 0 2 0 18 - -
T.J. McConnell 24 3-9 0-1 1-1 5 5 0 0 7 - -
Aaron Holiday 22 3-4 1-2 4-5 3 6 1 0 11 - -
Goga Bitadze 9 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
JaKarr Sampson 8 3-4 1-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 7 - -
Kelan Martin 5 1-2 0-1 2-2 1 0 1 0 4 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Simmons * 27 7-11 0-0 4-4 6 2 2 0 18 - -
Joel Embiid * 26 10-17 1-2 3-3 13 5 0 1 24 - -
Mike Scott * 24 4-4 3-3 0-0 4 0 4 0 11 - -
Seth Curry * 22 3-6 1-3 0-0 0 5 1 0 7 - -
Danny Green * 19 1-5 1-5 0-0 1 1 1 1 3 - -
Shake Milton 29 9-14 3-5 5-5 4 4 0 0 26 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 22 6-14 6-13 1-2 2 2 1 2 19 - -
Matisse Thybulle 20 1-6 0-3 2-2 1 3 0 0 4 - -
Tyrese Maxey 17 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 5 0 1 4 - -
Dwight Howard 15 4-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 8 - -
Tony Bradley 5 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 4 - -
Terrance Ferguson 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Vincent Poirier 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter