Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.6% | 33.4% | -3.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -6 (124-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 37 | 12-22 | 5-10 | 4-6 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 34 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 32 | 5-15 | 3-10 | 4-4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson * | 29 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 28 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 29 | 9-13 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 22 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 9 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Vucevic * | 35 | 12-24 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Dwayne Bacon * | 30 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Michael Carter-Williams * | 29 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Evan Fournier * | 27 | 8-13 | 5-8 | 5-7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Al-Farouq Aminu * | 22 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Terrence Ross | 36 | 7-17 | 3-10 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Chuma Okeke | 22 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Chasson Randle | 18 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Khem Birch | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Gary Clark | 4 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter