Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.1% | 62.9% | +2.9 | ✗ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -1 (126-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Washington * | 41 | 15-23 | 5-8 | 7-7 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 42 | - | - | |
| LaMelo Ball * | 38 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 9-10 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 30 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jalen McDaniels * | 15 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Miles Bridges | 32 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk | 31 | 8-17 | 0-7 | 5-5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Cody Martin | 27 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes * | 41 | 10-14 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 40 | 9-22 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 1 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 38 | 10-17 | 8-15 | 2-3 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III * | 34 | 11-20 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes * | 33 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica | 21 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| DaQuan Jeffries | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter