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2021-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 64.8% 35.2% -
Bradley-Terry 50.3% 49.7% -
Margin 59.6% 40.4% -2.1 (28.1 off)
Pythagorean 45.1% 54.9% -
Efficiency 42.1% 57.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.0% 60.0% -
Log Adjusted 40.0% 60.0% -
Points Off/Def 38.7% 61.3% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +26 (117-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 25 6-10 0-2 2-3 5 1 0 0 14 - -
Stephen Curry * 25 5-13 2-7 4-5 4 7 3 0 16 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 21 1-5 0-3 1-2 2 0 2 0 3 - -
Draymond Green * 12 3-5 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 1 6 - -
Kevon Looney * 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 27 3-5 1-2 0-0 5 4 2 0 7 - -
James Wiseman 25 2-7 0-2 1-3 8 0 0 1 5 - -
Damion Lee 22 0-4 0-4 1-2 2 2 0 1 1 - -
Eric Paschall 22 8-14 1-3 1-1 4 1 1 0 18 - -
Brad Wanamaker 22 3-9 0-2 3-3 1 6 0 0 9 - -
Kent Bazemore 17 3-6 3-4 0-0 2 3 0 0 9 - -
Mychal Mulder 10 1-6 1-4 0-0 0 0 2 1 3 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dennis Schroder * 25 3-9 0-3 6-7 3 6 1 0 12 - -
LeBron James * 24 7-12 3-5 2-4 6 4 2 2 19 - -
Markieff Morris * 24 4-8 2-4 3-4 8 4 0 0 13 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 22 1-5 1-3 6-8 5 2 2 0 9 - -
Marc Gasol * 16 3-4 2-3 1-1 4 2 0 1 9 - -
Alex Caruso 20 5-8 1-2 2-5 4 4 1 0 13 - -
Kyle Kuzma 20 4-7 2-4 2-2 11 0 1 0 12 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 16 5-12 0-2 1-1 1 0 3 1 11 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 12 0-4 0-3 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 - -
Wesley Matthews 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Jared Dudley 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 - -
Montrezl Harrell 11 3-7 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 6 - -
Damian Jones 8 3-3 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 2 8 - -
Devontae Cacok 6 1-1 0-0 0-2 4 0 1 0 2 - -
Kostas Antetokounmpo 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 - -

* = starter