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2021-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 25.3% 74.7% -
Bradley-Terry 57.4% 42.6% -
Margin 62.7% 37.3% -2.8 (46.2 off)
Pythagorean 58.4% 41.6% -
Efficiency 74.0% 26.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 72.5% 27.5% -
Log Adjusted 72.5% 27.5% -
Points Off/Def 61.4% 38.6% -

Actual: Houston Rockets -49 (84-133). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Desmond Bane * 27 6-7 1-2 2-2 7 1 3 1 15 - -
Ja Morant * 26 2-8 0-1 2-2 1 7 3 0 6 - -
Kyle Anderson * 22 4-14 0-7 5-6 5 0 1 0 13 - -
Dillon Brooks * 21 3-8 1-2 1-1 2 3 1 0 8 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 12 3-6 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 6 - -
De'Anthony Melton 22 5-8 1-2 3-3 3 5 4 0 14 - -
Brandon Clarke 20 7-9 0-2 2-4 12 1 1 0 16 - -
Justise Winslow 20 8-12 1-3 3-4 3 2 0 2 20 - -
Xavier Tillman 19 2-4 0-1 1-2 4 2 0 0 5 - -
Tyus Jones 16 5-6 3-3 0-0 5 2 2 0 13 - -
John Konchar 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 2 - -
Gorgui Dieng 8 3-7 2-5 4-4 3 1 0 0 12 - -
Killian Tillie 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Justin Patton * 26 4-6 2-4 0-0 5 0 0 2 10 - -
John Wall * 26 4-16 0-5 6-8 0 0 0 0 14 - -
Danuel House Jr. * 23 2-11 0-6 1-1 5 0 0 0 5 - -
P.J. Tucker * 22 0-1 0-1 1-2 5 1 1 2 1 - -
Eric Gordon * 22 1-10 0-5 3-3 2 2 0 0 5 - -
Sterling Brown 27 1-8 1-8 2-2 6 3 2 0 5 - -
Jae'Sean Tate 24 4-6 0-1 6-7 4 0 1 1 14 - -
David Nwaba 22 4-8 0-2 3-5 4 0 1 0 11 - -
Ben McLemore 20 2-10 0-7 3-3 1 0 1 0 7 - -
Mason Jones 15 1-5 1-5 9-10 5 2 0 0 12 - -
Rodions Kurucs 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 1 0 - -

* = starter